Average cost after the new purchase
$133.33
150 shares and $20,000 of cost basis at a price of $100.00
- Change in average cost
- -11.11%
- Break-even price
- $133.33
- Position worth now
- $15,000.00
- Shares added
- 50
What different amounts do to the average
| Amount added | Shares bought | New average cost | Change | New break-even |
|---|
| $1,000 | 10 | $145.45 | -3.03% | $145.45 |
| $2,500 | 25 | $140.00 | -6.67% | $140.00 |
| $5,000 | 50 | $133.33 | -11.11% | $133.33 |
| $10,000 | 100 | $125.00 | -16.67% | $125.00 |
| $20,000 | 200 | $116.67 | -22.22% | $116.67 |
Each extra dollar buys less improvement than the one before it, because the original position keeps its weight in the average. The limit of the sequence is the price you are paying now.
Break-even price at different selling fees
| Selling fee | Break-even price | Move needed from the price now |
|---|
| 0% | $133.33 | 33.33% |
| 0.25% | $133.67 | 33.67% |
| 0.5% | $134.00 | 34% |
| 1% | $134.68 | 34.68% |
A fee on the way out raises the price the position has to reach, and the effect is larger on a position whose cost basis is close to the current price.
Shares needed to reach an average of $120
| Measure | Value |
|---|
| Shares to buy at the current price | 150 |
| Money needed | $15,000 |
| Shares after the purchase | 250 |
| New average cost | $120.00 |
| Share of your account | 30% |
The maths only has a solution while the current price is below the target average. Chasing a lower average with a large purchase concentrates the position, which is the risk that does not show up in the new average cost.
Position size from the risk you are willing to take
| Measure | Value |
|---|
| Cash at risk | $500 |
| Risk per share | $8.00 |
| Shares to buy | 50 |
| Position value | $5,000 |
| Share of the account | 10% |
| Capped by the position limit | Yes |
| Reward to risk at the target | 2.5 : 1 |
Sizing from the stop means the distance to the stop, not the size of the position, decides how much a losing trade costs. The share count falls as the stop gets wider, which is the opposite of what averaging down does.
$5,000 at $100.00 moves the average from $150.00 to $133.33, and the position now needs 33.3% from the current price to break even. Averaging down is not a strategy on its own: it improves the arithmetic only if the asset recovers, and it raises the amount at risk in the meantime.